A Lasting Ceasefire Among Israel and Palestine? We've Heard That Before – The Result Was More Violence

So, which time period are we in? An American leader, after months of implicit backing, has at last become involved to halt an Israeli military offensive that has reduced swaths of a urban center in the region to ruins, leaving thousands dead and sparking worldwide anger.

This military action has followed a sequence of strikes on the Israeli nation. Presently, under pressure from American leadership, the Israeli prime minister, a rightwinger with an aptitude for popular speech and a deep conviction of historic Zionist mission, has agreed to a ceasefire.

Historical Comparisons

The year is not the current year, but 1982. The location is not Gaza City, but the Lebanese capital. The president is the Reagan administration, not Donald Trump.

Exist numerous variations between what happened in the Lebanese nation over four years past and current circumstances in Gaza in the last 24 months. The October attack of recent times, which caused over a thousand and involved numerous captured, shows limited similarity with the somewhat modest activities of the PLO in the year or so prior to Israel's invasion of the Lebanese nation.

Striking Parallels

Some are uncanny. The US leader eventually contacted the prime minister, stating to him that what was happening in the capital was "a holocaust" and explaining the relations between their states could be gravely damaged if the fighting carried on.

During that period, comparable to present circumstances, the fighting developed in immediate coverage on televisions worldwide. Many journalists traveled to the capital to document for the first time an Middle Eastern conflict without information control by either side.

Results and Outcomes

The situation subsequent to the communication from American leadership and the ceasefire in Beirut is instructive. The PLO, its groups and leaders were spread across thousands of miles and a various states.

American leadership then withdrew US-led peacekeepers – an infringement of the agreement with the Palestinian leader. The Lebanese president, Lebanon's newly elected leader and Israeli-supported figure, was murdered by Damascus operatives.

Area-wide Shifts

Similar patterns emerged across the rest of the region. By the late seventies, the more secular and modern approaches that had appeared to provide the potential of a changed reality in the regional countries years before were weakened.

The results of this became very clear, very quickly

Throughout the area, the Israeli state and the United States now encountered adversaries who were considerably more unyielding, dangerous and effective than the secular movements and independence advocates of previous times.

International Reaction

In the west, the outcomes of this were perverse. Throughout the 1970s, global observers and government representatives had attempted to comprehend what caused armed fundamentalism.

Subsequently, in the beginning of that decade, this ceased. Government officials in the United States, the UK and additional countries were ceased being concerned in "fundamental sources" of violence.

Current Similarities

Recently, accounts show that current leadership informed Israeli counterparts that Israel could not confront global opinion and admitted Palestinian aspirations for a independent nation.

This also was an echo of historical precedent. In the aftermath of the armed entry of that nation, earlier administration told Israel that the capability of its defense establishment alone could not "bring just and lasting peace" and acknowledged "justified demands of the Palestinian population."

Yet a internationally-backed diplomatic initiative meant to answer those complaints failed to progress. From exile, national representatives observed helplessly.

Global attention in the Middle East diminished. Israel resisted any concessions. Later, there was the first intifada, and the founding of further armed organizations.

  • The patterns of the past offer thought-provoking insights for present-day resolution attempts
  • Lasting solutions require dealing with fundamental problems rather than temporary ceasefires
  • Local circumstances continue to evolve in multifaceted and often unpredictable ways
Angela Brennan
Angela Brennan

A former casino manager turned independent gaming analyst, specializing in slot machine mechanics and responsible gambling practices.